set mem 80m
(81920k)

. use "E:\wolfdata\wolfmid2.dta", clear

. clear

. use "E:\wolfdata\jcr99table1.dta", clear

. rename mandv maneuver

. *This is a replication of Dan Reiter, "Military Strategy and the Outbreak 
. *of International Conflict: Quantitative Empirical Tests, 1903-1992,"
. *Journal of Conflict Resolution 43 (June 1999), Table 1 (p. 379).  The 
. *variables are described in the paper.  The labels are: state=name of
. *state; year=year; polity=polity score; grtpow=great power dummy; 
. *maneuver=maneuver strategy dummy; ccode=Correlates of War 
. *country code; borders=count of bordering states; init=MID initiation
. *dependent variable for all MIDs, Model 1; init45=MID initiation
. *dependent variable for all MIDs escalating to the use of force, Model
. *2.  Analysis done in STATA 6.0.
. probit init mandv polity borders grtpow
mandv not found
r(111);

. probit init maneuver polity borders grtpow

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -90.294888
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -74.577996
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -74.120214
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -74.116125
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -74.116124

Probit estimates                                  Number of obs   =        181
                                                  LR chi2(4)      =      32.36
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log likelihood = -74.116124                       Pseudo R2       =     0.1792

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    init |      Coef.   Std. Err.       z     P>|z|       [95% Conf. Interval]
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
maneuver |   .5802086   .3310435      1.753   0.080      -.0686246    1.229042
  polity |  -.0037569   .0173946     -0.216   0.829      -.0378497    .0303359
 borders |   .1180163   .0519274      2.273   0.023       .0162404    .2197921
  grtpow |   1.560057   .3880637      4.020   0.000       .7994665    2.320648
   _cons |  -1.568064   .2356856     -6.653   0.000      -2.029999   -1.106129
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. probit init45 maneuver polity borders grtpow

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -82.879065
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -70.411806
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -70.195547
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -70.194836
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -70.194836

Probit estimates                                  Number of obs   =        181
                                                  LR chi2(4)      =      25.37
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log likelihood = -70.194836                       Pseudo R2       =     0.1530

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  init45 |      Coef.   Std. Err.       z     P>|z|       [95% Conf. Interval]
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
maneuver |   .2142589   .3473091      0.617   0.537      -.4664543    .8949722
  polity |  -.0070453   .0178375     -0.395   0.693      -.0420061    .0279155
 borders |    .076994   .0515281      1.494   0.135      -.0239993    .1779873
  grtpow |   1.563933   .3762974      4.156   0.000       .8264035    2.301462
   _cons |  -1.478038   .2299483     -6.428   0.000      -1.928728   -1.027348
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 